The New York Jets have been struggling for years, but perhaps they are on a path back to some degree of relevance this season. That does not mean they are ready to challenge Buffalo in the AFC East but more obvious competitiveness on the field is expected.
There are a lot of keys to whether that actually happens, which is why the Jets are a massive wild card right now. Not in terms of actually qualifying for the playoffs as a wild card, but you know what I mean.
There are a few very critical questions that need to be answered such as..:
- Is head coach Robert Saleh good enough? (he might just be a top-notch defensive coordinator)
- Is QB Zach Wilson going to ascend in Year 2?
- Can they really improve with at least four rookies expected to start (good drafting or lack of depth)?
Looking at the pricing on that win total below, it seems many think the answers to those questions will be in the affirmative. I am not so sure. Nor would I really recommend you ever placing your hard-earned money on the line with the Jets. For sanity’s sake.
New York Jets win total
Over 5.5 (-160)
Under 5.5 (+135)
Best Bet: Under 5.5
This is not an easy schedule because it is the Jets, but overall, it is not too bad. It is just unfortunate the team has so many question marks.
One early advantage the Jets have is they go to Cleveland in Week 2. They might be able to get that game if the Browns are a mess early, which is likely. Sadly, that might be their most winnable game in the first half of the season. Their other road games during that stretch are at Pittsburgh, at Green Bay and at Denver — all tough places to play and all better teams.
The Jets get all three of its home games against their division rivals in the first half. They are going to be underdogs in every one of them too.
After their bye week, things get a lot easier, so if they get even one win in the first half, the over might cash. In the second half, look for New York to actually be favored in four games — at home against Chicago, Detroit and Jacksonville, and on the road at Seattle. The reason I am still going under on the Jets for the season is that by that point, anything could have happened and it is not like New York has developed a lot of depth. Plus there is a lot of buzz about Detroit being a team that will outperform expectations this season, so maybe that one is not such a sure thing.
New York goes to Miami in the final week of the season, and if the Dolphins are where they are expected to be, they likely need that game to make the playoffs, so the Jets are unlikely to get any helping stealing one there either.
I do see New York as a team that will improve throughout the course of the season, but getting to that over seems too much. There is good value on that under too. Now is the time.